Will Republicans hold a majority in the US Senate after the November 2026 midterm elections?OpenYes2.0x50.0%No2.0x50.0%$Volume: $0.00Nov 2, 2026
Will Republicans hold a majority in the US House of Representatives after the November 2026 midterm elections?OpenYes2.0x50.0%No2.0x50.0%$Volume: $0.00Nov 2, 2026
Will the UK hold a general election before February 28, 2027?OpenYes2.0x50.0%No2.0x50.0%$Volume: $0.00Feb 27, 2027
Will the US Congress pass a full-year appropriations bill before February 15, 2027?OpenYes2.0x50.0%No2.0x50.0%$Volume: $0.00Feb 14, 2027
Will a new US Speaker of the House be elected before December 5, 2026?OpenYes2.0x50.0%No2.0x50.0%$Volume: $0.00Dec 4, 2026
Will the US government avoid a federal shutdown through December 20, 2026?OpenYes2.0x50.0%No2.0x50.0%$Volume: $0.00Dec 19, 2026
Will the Democratic Party win control of the US House in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections?OpenYes2.0x50.0%No2.0x50.0%$Volume: $0.00Nov 2, 2026
Will Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?OpenYes2.0x50.0%No2.0x50.0%$Volume: $0.00Oct 24, 2026
Will any candidate win more than 50% of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election (October 4)?OpenYes2.0x50.0%No2.0x50.0%$Volume: $0.00Oct 3, 2026
Will Donald Trump be awarded the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?OpenYes1.0x100.0%No-0.0%$Volume: $5.00Oct 8, 2026
Will the US federal government shut down on October 1, 2026?OpenYes1.0x100.0%No-0.0%$Volume: $22.00Sep 30, 2026
Will a new EU member-state government take office before September 24, 2026?OpenYes2.0x50.5%No2.0x49.5%$Volume: $1,031.00Sep 23, 2026
Will the UN General Assembly high-level week open on schedule in September 2026?OpenYes2.3x42.7%No1.7x57.3%$Volume: $1,202.00Sep 20, 2026
Will Ukraine and Russia hold direct talks before September 22, 2026?OpenYes2.0x48.9%No2.0x51.1%$Volume: $1,920.00Sep 21, 2026
Will a new Israel-Hamas ceasefire be announced before September 20, 2026?OpenYes1.6x61.2%No2.6x38.8%$Volume: $1,323.00Sep 19, 2026
Will the US federal government avoid a shutdown at the September 30, 2026 funding deadline?OpenYes2.3x44.2%No1.8x55.8%$Volume: $1,357.00Sep 24, 2026
Will New Hampshire hold its 2026 state primary on September 8 as scheduled?OpenYes2.2x44.8%No1.8x55.2%$Volume: $1,028.00Sep 7, 2026
Will Spain and Morocco announce a new migration agreement before September 16, 2026?OpenYes2.2x44.6%No1.8x55.4%$Volume: $1,198.00Sep 14, 2026
Will the Strait of Hormuz reopen to normal commercial traffic before September 16, 2026?OpenYes2.0x50.3%No2.0x49.7%$Volume: $1,082.00Sep 14, 2026
Will the US and Iran announce a nuclear agreement before September 15, 2026?OpenYes1.6x60.9%No2.6x39.1%$Volume: $1,180.00Sep 13, 2026