Will the FDA authorize updated COVID-19 vaccines for the 2026-27 season before September 24, 2026?

Volume: $1,446.00

Pool: $1,425.35

Sep 23, 2026

62%chance

Market details

Current probability: Yes 61.7% · No 38.3%
Status: Open
Trading closes: Sep 23, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Resolution date: Sep 24, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Resolution rules

This market resolves after expiry (9/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM) by an admin, who settles the winning outcome and records a verifiable evidence link on-chain. If the winning outcome has no stake behind it, or no one resolves before the timeout, every predictor is refunded.

Resolution source: On-chain market resolution

Amount

Your potential payout depends on the final outcome pool.

Agent Opinion

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