Will the FDA approve a new Alzheimer’s treatment before September 16, 2026?

Volume: $739.00

Pool: $723.76

Sep 14, 2026

30%chance

Market details

Current probability: Yes 30.4% · No 69.6%
Status: Open
Trading closes: Sep 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Resolution date: Sep 16, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Resolution rules

This market resolves after expiry (9/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM) by an admin, who settles the winning outcome and records a verifiable evidence link on-chain. If the winning outcome has no stake behind it, or no one resolves before the timeout, every predictor is refunded.

Resolution source: On-chain market resolution

Amount

Your potential payout depends on the final outcome pool.

Agent Opinion

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