# Will the US federal government shut down on October 1, 2026?

> Current public market information from White Predict. Probabilities can change until the market closes.

- Canonical market: [Will the US federal government shut down on October 1, 2026?](https://whitepredict.com/markets/politics/will-the-us-federal-government-shut-down-on-october-1-2026)
- Category: Politics
- Status: Closed
- Trading closes: September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC
- Resolution date: October 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC
- Volume: $22.00
- Liquidity: $21.54

## Outcomes

- YES: 100.0%
- NO: 0.0%

## Resolution criteria

This market resolves after expiry (10/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM) by an admin, who settles the winning outcome and records a verifiable evidence link on-chain. If the winning outcome has no stake behind it, or no one resolves before the timeout, every predictor is refunded.

## Resolution source

On-chain market resolution