# Will SpaceX complete a Starship orbital flight before December 20, 2026?

> Current public market information from White Predict. Probabilities can change until the market closes.

- Canonical market: [Will SpaceX complete a Starship orbital flight before December 20, 2026?](https://whitepredict.com/markets/technology/will-spacex-complete-a-starship-orbital-flight-before-december-20-2026)
- Category: Technology
- Status: Open
- Trading closes: December 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC
- Resolution date: December 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC
- Volume: $0.00
- Liquidity: $0.00

## Outcomes

- YES: 50.0%
- NO: 50.0%

## Resolution criteria

This market resolves after expiry (12/21/2026, 12:00:00 PM) by an admin, who settles the winning outcome and records a verifiable evidence link on-chain. If the winning outcome has no stake behind it, or no one resolves before the timeout, every predictor is refunded.

## Resolution source

On-chain market resolution