# Will Google release a Gemini 4 model before September 16, 2026?

> Current public market information from White Predict. Probabilities can change until the market closes.

- Canonical market: [Will Google release a Gemini 4 model before September 16, 2026?](https://whitepredict.com/markets/technology/will-google-release-a-gemini-4-model-before-september-16-2026)
- Category: Technology
- Status: Open
- Trading closes: September 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC
- Resolution date: September 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC
- Volume: $1,102.00
- Liquidity: $1,079.56

## Outcomes

- YES: 57.3%
- NO: 42.7%

## Resolution criteria

This market resolves after expiry (9/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM) by an admin, who settles the winning outcome and records a verifiable evidence link on-chain. If the winning outcome has no stake behind it, or no one resolves before the timeout, every predictor is refunded.

## Resolution source

On-chain market resolution