# Will Arctic sea-ice extent set a new record September minimum in 2026?

> Current public market information from White Predict. Probabilities can change until the market closes.

- Canonical market: [Will Arctic sea-ice extent set a new record September minimum in 2026?](https://whitepredict.com/markets/environment/will-arctic-sea-ice-extent-set-a-new-record-september-minimum-in-2026)
- Category: Environment
- Status: Open
- Trading closes: September 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC
- Resolution date: September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC
- Volume: $1,288.00
- Liquidity: $1,269.11

## Outcomes

- YES: 43.8%
- NO: 56.2%

## Resolution criteria

This market resolves after expiry (9/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM) by an admin, who settles the winning outcome and records a verifiable evidence link on-chain. If the winning outcome has no stake behind it, or no one resolves before the timeout, every predictor is refunded.

## Resolution source

On-chain market resolution