# Will a Category 4 or stronger Atlantic hurricane form before September 16, 2026?

> Current public market information from White Predict. Probabilities can change until the market closes.

- Canonical market: [Will a Category 4 or stronger Atlantic hurricane form before September 16, 2026?](https://whitepredict.com/markets/environment/will-a-category-4-or-stronger-atlantic-hurricane-form-before-september-16-2026)
- Category: Environment
- Status: Open
- Trading closes: September 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC
- Resolution date: September 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC
- Volume: $478.00
- Liquidity: $466.94

## Outcomes

- YES: 36.2%
- NO: 63.8%

## Resolution criteria

This market resolves after expiry (9/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM) by an admin, who settles the winning outcome and records a verifiable evidence link on-chain. If the winning outcome has no stake behind it, or no one resolves before the timeout, every predictor is refunded.

## Resolution source

On-chain market resolution